Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Solin · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Solin 1-3 Uljanik
Original prediction
Solin
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.27 | 39.9% | 44.6% | 4.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 26.3% | 26.7% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.68 | 33.8% | 28.7% | -5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Solin
Probability
44.6%
Model confidence
44.6%
Solin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SolinDWWDL
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
UljanikLWDLD
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SolinUljanik
60.0Attack50.0
63.3Defence83.3
60.0Form66.7
60.1Power68.0
1.70xG1.02