Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Solin · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (15%), 1-0 (12%), 3-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Solin 3-1 Trnje
Original prediction
Solin
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 18:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.44 | 36.8% | 59.2% | 22.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.27 | 27.4% | 21.6% | -5.7 pts |
| Away | 2.50 | 35.9% | 19.2% | -16.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.44 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
22.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–015%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.3–011%
Predicted outcome
Solin
Probability
59.2%
Model confidence
59.2%
Solin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SolinLDWLD
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
TrnjeLDWWW
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
SolinTrnje
60.0Attack33.3
63.3Defence45.6
60.0Form36.7
60.1Power40.2
2.24xG0.64