Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sibenik · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2
Solin are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (DLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Sibenik are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sibenik hold a 40.5-point power-rating edge (37.4 v 77.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.0% in the First NL, while Sibenik holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sibenik
Probability
73.0%
Model confidence
73.0%
Sibenik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40