Solihull Moorsvs
Everton U21
COMPLETEDEngland · National League Cup · 10/13/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Solihull Moors · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Solihull Moors 1-0 Everton U21
Original prediction
Solihull Moors
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 October 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.32 | 38.6% | 38.3% | -0.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.61 | 24.9% | 27.8% | 2.9 pts |
| Away | 2.46 | 36.5% | 33.9% | -2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.32 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Solihull Moors
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
Solihull Moors has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 16 · avg 1.00/3.20
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00