GGOALVIO

England · National League · 8/5/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Solihull Moors · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Solihull Moors are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Eastleigh are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Solihull Moors hold a 10.1-point power-rating edge (55.9 v 45.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.0% in the National League, while Solihull Moors holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Solihull Moors

Probability

56.0%

Model confidence

56.0%

Solihull Moors has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Solihull MoorsLDWWL

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
EastleighWDDWL

GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Solihull MoorsEastleigh
53.5Attack52.9
55.6Defence37.0
55.6Form42.8
55.9Power45.9
2.26xG1.26
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