Solihull Moorsvs
Boreham Wood
COMPLETEDEngland · National League · 9/26/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Boreham Wood · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-3 (11%), 0-4 (11%), 1-3 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Solihull Moors 0-3 Boreham Wood
Original prediction
Boreham Wood
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.19 | 21.8% | 15.2% | -6.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.18 | 21.8% | 17.3% | -4.6 pts |
| Away | 1.62 | 56.4% | 67.5% | 11.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.62 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–311%
- 2.0–411%
- 3.1–39%
Predicted outcome
Boreham Wood
Probability
67.5%
Model confidence
67.5%
Boreham Wood has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20