Solihull Moorsvs
Aldershot Town
COMPLETEDEngland · National League · 9/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aldershot Town · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (12%), 0-2 (12%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Solihull Moors 1-2 Aldershot Town
Original prediction
Aldershot Town
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.13 | 42.8% | 26.7% | -16.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.66 | 24.9% | 24.7% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.82 | 32.3% | 48.7% | 16.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.82 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
16.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–112%
- 2.0–212%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
Aldershot Town
Probability
48.7%
Model confidence
48.7%
Aldershot Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80