Solihull Moorsvs
AFC Fylde
COMPLETEDEngland · National League · 8/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AFC Fylde · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Solihull Moors 1-3 AFC Fylde
Original prediction
AFC Fylde
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.56 | 35.7% | 27.4% | -8.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.55 | 25.8% | 23.9% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 2.38 | 38.5% | 48.7% | 10.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.38 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
AFC Fylde
Probability
48.7%
Model confidence
48.7%
AFC Fylde has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 17 · avg 1.20/3.40
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60