GGOALVIO

England · National League · 8/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Solihull Moors are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while AFC Fylde are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Solihull Moors hold a 10.3-point power-rating edge (55.9 v 45.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the National League, favouring a draw with 10.1% confidence, a 64% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

23.0%

Model confidence

10.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Solihull MoorsLWLDD

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
AFC FyldeDWWLW

GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Solihull MoorsAFC Fylde
53.5Attack53.6
55.6Defence40.6
55.6Form39.9
55.9Power45.6
2.13xG1.28
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