GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 4/3/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Alvarado · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Sol de Mayo are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Alvarado are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Alvarado hold a 17.9-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 63.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 24.3% in the Torneo Federal A, while Alvarado holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Alvarado

Probability

47.1%

Model confidence

24.3%

Alvarado has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sol de MayoWDLWW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
AlvaradoWLLDW

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Sol de MayoAlvarado
33.3Attack40.7
57.9Defence87.0
36.8Form61.1
45.3Power63.2
0.46xG1.00
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