GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 4/5/2026, 7:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Sol de América are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Sarmiento de La Banda are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sol de América hold a 2.6-point power-rating edge (55.6 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 30.4% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.3%

Model confidence

30.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sol de AméricaLLWWW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Sarmiento de La BandaDLLLL

GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Sol de AméricaSarmiento de La Banda
36.8Attack33.3
71.9Defence70.4
52.6Form50.0
55.6Power53.0
0.71xG0.51
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