Sol de Américavs
Sarmiento de La Banda
COMPLETEDArgentina · Torneo Federal A · 4/5/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Sol de América are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Sarmiento de La Banda are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sol de América hold a 2.6-point power-rating edge (55.6 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 30.4% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
30.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00