GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 6/28/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Sol de América are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while San Martin Formosa are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and San Martin Formosa hold an 8.8-point power-rating edge (55.6 v 64.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.2% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

35.8%

Model confidence

18.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sol de AméricaLDLWW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
San Martin FormosaWLWWL

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Sol de AméricaSan Martin Formosa
36.8Attack57.9
71.9Defence63.2
52.6Form68.4
55.6Power64.4
0.85xG0.92
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