SOL DE Americavs
Sportivo Carapeguá
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Intermedia · 10/9/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SOL DE America · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: SOL DE America 1-0 Sportivo Carapeguá, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
SOL DE America 2-4 Sportivo Carapeguá
Original prediction
SOL DE America
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 22:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.84 | 48.8% | 43.3% | -5.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 26.8% | 29.9% | 3.1 pts |
| Away | 3.68 | 24.4% | 26.9% | 2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.5 pts
Projected Score
SOL DE America 1–0 Sportivo Carapeguá
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
SOL DE America
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
43.3%
SOL DE America has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40