SOL DE Americavs
General Caballero
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Intermedia · 9/3/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SOL DE America · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
SOL DE America 1-1 General Caballero
Original prediction
SOL DE America
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.20 | 40.7% | 36.7% | -4.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 27.5% | 28.1% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.81 | 31.9% | 35.2% | 3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.26 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.0–112%
Predicted outcome
SOL DE America
Probability
36.7%
Model confidence
36.7%
SOL DE America has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00