SOL DE Americavs
Fernando De La Mora
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Intermedia · 9/13/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SOL DE America · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: SOL DE America 1-0 Fernando De La Mora, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
SOL DE America 3-2 Fernando De La Mora
Original prediction
SOL DE America
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.97 | 45.2% | 52.4% | 7.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.02 | 29.5% | 28.9% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 3.53 | 25.3% | 18.6% | -6.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.97 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.2 pts
Projected Score
SOL DE America 1–0 Fernando De La Mora
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
SOL DE America
Probability
52.4%
Model confidence
52.4%
SOL DE America has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60