GGOALVIO

Paraguay · Division Intermedia · 9/26/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SOL DE America · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: SOL DE America 1-0 Encarnación, with an exact score probability of 19%.

Prediction record

Final result

SOL DE America 2-0 Encarnación

Original prediction

SOL DE America

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 18:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.6255.0%45.2%-9.8 pts
Draw3.5625.0%29.7%4.7 pts
Away4.4520.0%25.1%5.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.62 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-9.8 pts

Projected Score

SOL DE America 1–0 Encarnación

Exact score probability: 19%

Predicted outcome

SOL DE America

Probability

45.2%

Model confidence

45.2%

SOL DE America has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SOL DE AmericaWLWLD

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
EncarnaciónWLDWL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
SOL DE AmericaEncarnación
40.0Attack33.3
68.0Defence54.7
49.3Form29.3
54.5Power41.1
1.21xG0.56
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