SOL DE Americavs
Encarnación
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Intermedia · 9/26/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SOL DE America · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: SOL DE America 1-0 Encarnación, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
SOL DE America 2-0 Encarnación
Original prediction
SOL DE America
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 18:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.62 | 55.0% | 45.2% | -9.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.56 | 25.0% | 29.7% | 4.7 pts |
| Away | 4.45 | 20.0% | 25.1% | 5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.62 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.8 pts
Projected Score
SOL DE America 1–0 Encarnación
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
SOL DE America
Probability
45.2%
Model confidence
45.2%
SOL DE America has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20