GGOALVIO

Paraguay · Division Intermedia · 10/24/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SOL DE America · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (13%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

SOL DE America 1-1 Atlético Tembetary

Original prediction

SOL DE America

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 23 October 2026 at 09:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.7950.0%43.8%-6.2 pts
Draw3.4625.9%28.8%2.9 pts
Away3.7124.1%27.3%3.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.46 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-6.2 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–014%
  2. 2.1–113%
  3. 3.0–011%

Predicted outcome

SOL DE America

Probability

43.8%

Model confidence

43.8%

SOL DE America has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SOL DE AmericaWWLDW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Atlético TembetaryLLLWW

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
SOL DE AmericaAtlético Tembetary
41.4Attack46.0
66.7Defence46.0
50.6Form41.4
54.9Power46.8
1.47xG0.82
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