Sokol Zápyvs
Varnsdorf
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · 3. liga - CFL B · 9/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sokol Zápy · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sokol Zápy 4-4 Varnsdorf
Original prediction
Sokol Zápy
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.53 | 59.3% | 51.5% | -7.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.27 | 21.3% | 24.4% | 3.2 pts |
| Away | 4.66 | 19.5% | 24.0% | 4.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.27 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Sokol Zápy
Probability
51.5%
Model confidence
51.5%
Sokol Zápy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20