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Saturday, 25 July 2026Last updated 10:04
Sokol Zápy

Sokol Zápy

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21
Full time
Králův Dvůr

Králův Dvůr

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Králův Dvůr33%
Sokol Zápy33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
Sokol Zápy
33%
Draw
33%
Králův Dvůr
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 3.01 xG for Králův Dvůr and 1.37 xG for Sokol Zápy — strong and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. Even with Králův Dvůr holding the stronger xG profile, the opposition's meaningful attacking output is sufficient to keep BTTS in play.Historical meetings reinforce this projection — both teams have scored in 3 of their last 3 encounters, a pattern consistent with the current xG picture.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 4.39 — high attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.

xG for (Králův Dvůr)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Králův Dvůr)
5.40
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Králův DvůrKrálův Dvůr
L

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Sokol Zápy33%
Draw33%
Králův Dvůr33%

Králův Dvůr leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Králův Dvůr vs Sokol Zápy: Model Points to a Closely-Fought Draw

Králův Dvůr host Sokol Zápy in Friendlies Clubs. Králův Dvůr have recorded LWWLLW in recent matches while Sokol Zápy arrive with a run of DWWLWL. These sides have met 3 times recently, averaging 6.3 goals per game.

Why GoalVio backs this

The xG model projects 3.01 for Králův Dvůr and 1.37 for Sokol Zápy. The gap of 1.64 is not large enough to decisively separate the sides — neither team is creating chances at a level that justifies a clear winner projection.

Biggest risk: null have won 3 of their last 10 matches — a run of form the model acknowledges but cannot fully override. If null carry that momentum into this fixture and score first, the upset probability rises significantly above what the headline verdict suggests.

Risk factors

  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Recent form

Králův Dvůr

Králův Dvůr

L
@ České Budějovice II
16 May 2026
26

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Sokol Zápy vs Králův Dvůr?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Sokol Zápy vs Králův Dvůr?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Sokol Zápy vs Králův Dvůr?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Sokol Zápy vs Králův Dvůr?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more