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Wednesday, 29 July 202617:00Updated today
Sokol Brozany

Sokol Brozany

Home
D
vs
17:00
Ústí nad Labem II

Ústí nad Labem II

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Ústí nad Labem II33%
Sokol Brozany33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
Sokol Brozany
33%
Draw
33%
Ústí nad Labem II
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Sokol Brozany
34
Ústí nad Labem II
34
Defence
Sokol Brozany
66
Ústí nad Labem II
27
Momentum
Sokol Brozany
33
Ústí nad Labem II
0
Danger (xG)
Sokol Brozany
0.90
Ústí nad Labem II
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 2.55 xG for Sokol Brozany and 0.75 xG for Ústí nad Labem II. Ústí nad Labem II's projected xG of 0.75 is not sufficient to make scoring a reliable expectation — the model does not see them generating enough high-quality chances to break through.The projected 0-0 scoreline features a clean sheet for one side. With only 0 goal expected in total, the match is projected to be a tight, low-scoring affair where one goal may be enough to decide the contest.Sokol Brozany's Defensive Stability Score (66) comfortably exceeds the opposition's Attack Score (34). That structural defensive advantage is the clearest reason the model does not project both teams scoring.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 3.30 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 0-0 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. Only 0 goal is expected in the most likely outcome — the model sees this as a tight, low-scoring contest where one goal could be decisive.The defensive profiles of both sides are stronger than their attacking counterparts — Sokol Brozany's Defensive Stability (66) and Ústí nad Labem II's (27) both suggest teams capable of limiting the opposition. When both defences are this organised, the model expects a lower-scoring environment.

xG for (Sokol Brozany)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Ústí nad Labem II)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Sokol Brozany)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Ústí nad Labem II)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Sokol BrozanySokol Brozany
D
Ústí nad Labem IIÚstí nad Labem II
LD

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Sokol Brozany33%
Draw33%
Ústí nad Labem II33%

Ústí nad Labem II leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Sokol Brozany vs Ústí nad Labem II: Model Points to a Closely-Fought Draw

Sokol Brozany host Ústí nad Labem II in Friendlies Clubs. Sokol Brozany have recorded DDDDWD in recent matches while Ústí nad Labem II arrive with a run of DWLLLL.

Why GoalVio backs this

The xG model projects 2.55 for Sokol Brozany and 0.75 for Ústí nad Labem II. The gap of 1.79 is not large enough to decisively separate the sides — neither team is creating chances at a level that justifies a clear winner projection.

Biggest risk: The draw projection is inherently fragile — a single moment of quality from either side could produce a winner. The model sees no clear favourite, which means the actual result is highly sensitive to in-game events and individual quality.

Risk factors

  • Sokol Brozany have been conceding 3.41 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Recent form

Sokol Brozany

Sokol Brozany

D
@ Neratovice-Byškovice
16 May 2026
11
Ústí nad Labem II

Ústí nad Labem II

L
@ Meteor Praha
10 Jun 2026
12
D
vs Újezd Praha 4
16 May 2026
00

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Sokol Brozany vs Ústí nad Labem II?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Sokol Brozany vs Ústí nad Labem II?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Sokol Brozany vs Ústí nad Labem II?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Sokol Brozany vs Ústí nad Labem II?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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