Sokół Ostródavs
Sokół Kleczew
COMPLETEDPoland · Cup · 9/2/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sokół Kleczew · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sokół Ostróda 1-2 Sokół Kleczew
Original prediction
Sokół Kleczew
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.85 | 18.7% | 34.6% | 15.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.65 | 19.5% | 25.3% | 5.8 pts |
| Away | 1.46 | 61.9% | 40.1% | -21.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.46 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-21.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Sokół Kleczew
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Sokół Kleczew has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.67/2.67
GF 8 · GA 15 · avg 1.60/3.00