Sokół Kolb.vs
Star Starachowice
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 4 · 9/4/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sokół Kolb. · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (13%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sokół Kolb. 0-0 Star Starachowice
Original prediction
Sokół Kolb.
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.98 | 45.4% | 48.9% | 3.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 26.0% | 26.1% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 3.14 | 28.6% | 25.1% | -3.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.46 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Sokół Kolb.
Probability
48.9%
Model confidence
48.9%
Sokół Kolb. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40