Sokół Kleczewvs
Olimpia Grudziądz
COMPLETEDPoland · II Liga - East · 9/11/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Olimpia Grudziądz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sokół Kleczew 1-1 Olimpia Grudziądz
Original prediction
Olimpia Grudziądz
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.77 | 23.9% | 33.2% | 9.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.69 | 24.4% | 26.0% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 1.74 | 51.7% | 40.8% | -11.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.69 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Olimpia Grudziądz
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Olimpia Grudziądz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40