Sokół Kleczewvs
Górnik Łęczna
COMPLETEDPoland · II Liga - East · 9/5/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Górnik Łęczna · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sokół Kleczew 0-4 Górnik Łęczna
Original prediction
Górnik Łęczna
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.63 | 34.3% | 31.5% | -2.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 26.1% | 26.7% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.27 | 39.6% | 41.8% | 2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.27 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Górnik Łęczna
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
41.8%
Górnik Łęczna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60