Sokół Kleczewvs
Avia Świdnik
COMPLETEDPoland · II Liga - East · 9/18/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Avia Świdnik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sokół Kleczew 2-2 Avia Świdnik
Original prediction
Avia Świdnik
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.47 | 36.0% | 27.5% | -8.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 25.9% | 25.3% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.33 | 38.0% | 47.2% | 9.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.42 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Avia Świdnik
Probability
47.2%
Model confidence
47.2%
Avia Świdnik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00