GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 5/17/2025, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Jagiellonia II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sokół Aleksandrów are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Jagiellonia II are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Jagiellonia II hold a 21.1-point power-rating edge (25.7 v 46.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.7% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Jagiellonia II holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Jagiellonia II

Probability

58.7%

Model confidence

58.7%

Jagiellonia II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sokół AleksandrówLLLLL

GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Jagiellonia IIWWLWD

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Sokół AleksandrówJagiellonia II
25.5Attack48.0
29.4Defence46.1
11.8Form44.1
25.7Power46.8
0.93xG2.02
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