Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sohar · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sohar 1-3 Al Seeb
Original prediction
Sohar
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 19:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.14 | 41.9% | 37.7% | -4.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.06 | 29.3% | 30.3% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 3.10 | 28.9% | 32.0% | 3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Sohar
Probability
37.7%
Model confidence
37.7%
Sohar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SoharDWDWW
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Al SeebWLDWW
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
SoharAl Seeb
45.8Attack44.4
62.5Defence100.0
70.8Form77.8
62.8Power74.7
1.22xG1.06