Sogndalvs
Stromsgodset
COMPLETEDNorway · 1. Division · 8/30/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stromsgodset · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-4 (8%), 1-3 (8%), 2-4 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sogndal 2-3 Stromsgodset
Original prediction
Stromsgodset
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.74 | 19.4% | 15.1% | -4.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.78 | 19.3% | 14.1% | -5.2 pts |
| Away | 1.50 | 61.3% | 70.8% | 9.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.50 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–48%
- 2.1–38%
- 3.2–47%
Predicted outcome
Stromsgodset
Probability
70.8%
Model confidence
70.8%
Stromsgodset has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00