GGOALVIO

Norway · 1. Division · 4/15/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sandnes ULF · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Sogndal are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Sandnes ULF are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Sandnes ULF hold a 4.8-point power-rating edge (38.3 v 43.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.8% in the 1. Division, while Sandnes ULF holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 83% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sandnes ULF

Probability

38.8%

Model confidence

38.8%

Sandnes ULF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SogndalDLLDD

GF 2 · GA 14 · avg 0.40/2.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sandnes ULFWLWLL

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
SogndalSandnes ULF
58.8Attack51.0
15.7Defence37.3
35.3Form39.2
38.3Power43.1
2.38xG2.43
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