Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Raufoss · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-4
Sogndal are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Raufoss are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Raufoss hold a 33.4-point power-rating edge (35.5 v 69.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Raufoss holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 82% BTTS chance and 93% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Raufoss
Probability
57.4%
Model confidence
57.4%
Raufoss has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60