Sogndalvs
ODD Ballklubb
COMPLETEDNorway · 1. Division · 10/14/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ODD Ballklubb · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-3 (8%), 1-2 (7%), 2-3 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sogndal 0-1 ODD Ballklubb
Original prediction
ODD Ballklubb
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.31 | 27.9% | 25.2% | -2.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.07 | 22.7% | 21.4% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 1.87 | 49.5% | 53.4% | 3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.87 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–38%
- 2.1–27%
- 3.2–37%
Predicted outcome
ODD Ballklubb
Probability
53.4%
Model confidence
53.4%
ODD Ballklubb has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60