Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sogndal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Sogndal are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Lyn are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 38.3 against 37.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.0% in the 1. Division, while Sogndal holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 83% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sogndal
Probability
48.9%
Model confidence
7.0%
Sogndal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 9 · GA 14 · avg 1.80/2.80