Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Haugesund · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-4
Sogndal are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Haugesund are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Haugesund hold a 29.4-point power-rating edge (38.3 v 67.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.8% in the 1. Division, while Haugesund holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 88% BTTS chance and 95% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Haugesund
Probability
63.8%
Model confidence
63.8%
Haugesund has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40