Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sogndal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-2
Sogndal are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Førde are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 4.20 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Sogndal hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (35.5 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Sogndal holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 87% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sogndal
Probability
46.5%
Model confidence
6.5%
Sogndal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 21 · GA 15 · avg 4.20/3.00