1. Division1. Division
Saturday, 27 June 2026Last updated 10:11
Sogndal

Sogndal

Home
L
42
Full time
Egersund

Egersund

Away
W
Fosshaugane Campus
GoalVio prediction
49% confidence
Sogndal(49%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction correct— Result: Sogndal
Win probability
Sogndal
49%
Draw
22%
Egersund
28%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Sogndal
34
Egersund
94
Defence
Sogndal
0
Egersund
91
Momentum
Sogndal
0
Egersund
100
Danger (xG)
Sogndal
0.90
Egersund
2.70
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Sogndal)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Egersund)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Sogndal)
4.50
avg per match
xG against (Egersund)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
SogndalSogndal
LWLD
EgersundEgersund
WLWLL

Probability breakdown

49% confidence
Sogndal49%
Draw22%
Egersund28%

Sogndal leads with 49% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Sogndal head into this in 1. Division fixture at Fosshaugane Campus in mixed form (L), while Egersund arrive in mixed form (W). Sogndal have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Egersund over 1 games.

Tactically, Egersund hold the edge. Their elite attack (94/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Sogndal defence (0/100), while Sogndal's attack faces a watertight Egersund backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Sogndal have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 4.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game at home. Egersund have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 2.0 goals scored and 4.0 conceded per away game.

Sogndal have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 6.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Sogndal to win with 49% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Sogndal 4940%, Draw 2210%, Egersund 2840%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Sogndal 1Draws 00 Egersund
Avg goals: 6.0BTTS in 1/1
27 Jun 2026
Sogndal
W42
Egersund

Recent form

Sogndal

Sogndal

L
@ Kongsvinger
3 Jul 2026
15
W
vs Egersund
27 Jun 2026
42
L
@ Raufoss
21 Jun 2026
13
D
@ hodd
16 May 2026
22
Egersund

Egersund

W
vs Moss
4 Jul 2026
30
L
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27 Jun 2026
24
W
vs Haugesund
21 Jun 2026
52
L
@ Sandnes ULF
15 May 2026
24
L
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11 May 2026
01

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Sogndal vs Egersund?

GoalVio's model predicts Sogndal to win with 49% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Sogndal vs Egersund?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Sogndal vs Egersund?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Sogndal vs Egersund?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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