Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bryne · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Sogndal are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Bryne are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Bryne hold an 11.2-point power-rating edge (35.5 v 46.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Bryne holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 86% BTTS chance and 89% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bryne
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
Bryne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80