Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sogndal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Sogndal are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Asane are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Asane hold a 12.0-point power-rating edge (35.5 v 47.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Sogndal holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 88% BTTS chance and 91% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sogndal
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
6.3%
Sogndal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00