Sogndal IIvs
Fyllingsdalen
COMPLETEDNorway · 3. Division - Girone 3 · 9/5/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sogndal II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-2 (7%), 3-1 (6%), 2-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sogndal II 7-0 Fyllingsdalen
Original prediction
Sogndal II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.34 | 67.4% | 52.6% | -14.8 pts |
| Draw | 5.21 | 17.3% | 22.1% | 4.8 pts |
| Away | 5.87 | 15.3% | 25.3% | 10.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.34 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–27%
- 2.3–16%
- 3.2–26%
Predicted outcome
Sogndal II
Probability
52.6%
Model confidence
52.6%
Sogndal II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60