Super LeagueSuper League
Thursday, 16 July 2026Last updated 12:39
Sogdiana

Sogdiana

Home
W
20
Full time
Xorazm

Xorazm

Away
L
Sogdiana Sport Complex
GoalVio prediction
51% confidence
Sogdiana(51%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction correct— Result: Sogdiana
Win probability
Sogdiana
51%
Draw
26%
Xorazm
23%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Sogdiana
73
Xorazm
9
Defence
Sogdiana
91
Xorazm
27
Momentum
Sogdiana
100
Xorazm
0
Danger (xG)
Sogdiana
1.80
Xorazm
0.00
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Sogdiana)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Xorazm)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Sogdiana)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Xorazm)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
SogdianaSogdiana
W
XorazmXorazm
L

Probability breakdown

51% confidence
Sogdiana51%
Draw26%
Xorazm23%

Sogdiana leads with 51% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Share this

Analysis

Match insights

Sogdiana head into this in Super League fixture at Sogdiana Sport Complex in mixed form (W), while Xorazm arrive in mixed form (L). Sogdiana have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Xorazm over 1 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Sogdiana's strong attack (73/100) faces a vulnerable Xorazm defence (27/100), while Xorazm's attack is up against a watertight Sogdiana backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Sogdiana's favour.

Sogdiana have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game at home. Xorazm have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 0.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

Sogdiana have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 2.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects Sogdiana to win with 51% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Sogdiana 5079%, Draw 2580%, Xorazm 2341%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Sogdiana 1Draws 00 Xorazm
Avg goals: 2.0
16 Jul 2026
Sogdiana
W20
Xorazm

Recent form

Sogdiana

Sogdiana

W
vs Xorazm
16 Jul 2026
20
Xorazm

Xorazm

L
@ Sogdiana
16 Jul 2026
02

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Sogdiana vs Xorazm?

GoalVio's model predicts Sogdiana to win with 51% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Sogdiana vs Xorazm?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Sogdiana vs Xorazm?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Sogdiana vs Xorazm?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

Explore more predictions

About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
View full accuracy stats →
Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more