Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sogdiana · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Sogdiana are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Sileks are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sogdiana hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 38.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Sogdiana holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sogdiana
Probability
44.8%
Model confidence
44.8%
Sogdiana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40