Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sogdiana · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sogdiana 2-1 Qizilqum
Original prediction
Sogdiana
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 17 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.2-calibrated-1x2.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Sogdiana
Probability
49.9%
Model confidence
49.9%
Sogdiana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SogdianaWWWLL
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
QizilqumWLWLD
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
SogdianaQizilqum
58.8Attack29.4
31.4Defence52.9
41.2Form39.2
44.9Power42.2
1.79xG1.09