Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pakhtakor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Sogdiana are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Pakhtakor are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Pakhtakor hold a 23.4-point power-rating edge (44.9 v 68.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.6% in the Super League, while Pakhtakor holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Pakhtakor
Probability
59.6%
Model confidence
59.6%
Pakhtakor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80