Super LeagueSuper League
Tuesday, 21 July 2026Last updated 10:09
Sogdiana

Sogdiana

Home
W
15
Full time
Neftchi

Neftchi

Away
W
Sogdiana Sport Complex
GoalVio prediction
47% confidence
Neftchi(47%)
Most likely exact score1-2
Win probability
Sogdiana
28%
Draw
25%
Neftchi
47%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Sogdiana
73
Neftchi
73
Defence
Sogdiana
91
Neftchi
66
Momentum
Sogdiana
100
Neftchi
100
Danger (xG)
Sogdiana
1.80
Neftchi
1.80
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Sogdiana)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Neftchi)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Sogdiana)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Neftchi)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
SogdianaSogdiana
W
NeftchiNeftchi
W

Probability breakdown

47% confidence
Sogdiana28%
Draw25%
Neftchi47%

Neftchi leads with 47% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Sogdiana head into this in Super League fixture at Sogdiana Sport Complex in mixed form (W), while Neftchi arrive in mixed form (W). Sogdiana have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Neftchi over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Sogdiana (91/100) and Neftchi (66/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Sogdiana have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game at home. Neftchi have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between Sogdiana and Neftchi in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Neftchi to win with 47% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-2. Win probabilities: Sogdiana 2800%, Draw 2505%, Neftchi 4696%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Sogdiana

Sogdiana

W
vs Xorazm
16 Jul 2026
20
Neftchi

Neftchi

W
vs Buxoro
16 Jul 2026
21

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Sogdiana vs Neftchi?

GoalVio's model predicts Neftchi to win with 47% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Sogdiana vs Neftchi?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-2.

Will both teams score in Sogdiana vs Neftchi?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Sogdiana vs Neftchi?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more