GGOALVIO

Brazil · Mineiro U20 · 8/23/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nacional de Muriae U20 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Mediumconfidence

Social U20 are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Nacional de Muriae U20 are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and nacional de Muriae U20 hold a 18.8-point power-rating edge (42.8 v 61.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely result in the Mineiro U20, favouring Nacional de Muriae U20 with 14.2% confidence, a 43% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nacional de Muriae U20

Probability

53.9%

Model confidence

14.2%

Nacional de Muriae U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Social U20LDLWW

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Nacional de Muriae U20WDWLW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Social U20Nacional de Muriae U20
40.5Attack47.6
45.2Defence69.0
38.1Form61.9
42.8Power61.6
0.77xG1.53
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