Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Sochaux 0-0 Boulogne, with an exact score probability of 31%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sochaux 1-1 Boulogne
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 09:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.32 | 40.0% | 35.8% | -4.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.11 | 29.8% | 33.8% | 4.0 pts |
| Away | 3.08 | 30.2% | 30.4% | 0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.11 · Draw 2.11 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.0 pts
Projected Score
Sochaux 0–0 Boulogne
Exact score probability: 31%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.8%
Model confidence
35.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SochauxWDWDD
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
BoulogneLLDDD
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
SochauxBoulogne
19.0Attack14.3
76.2Defence76.2
47.6Form23.8
50.4Power41.2
0.67xG0.53