Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Sochaux 0-0 Annecy, with an exact score probability of 23%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sochaux 1-3 Annecy
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 October 2026 at 00:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.36 | 39.3% | 34.3% | -5.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.17 | 29.2% | 32.1% | 2.9 pts |
| Away | 2.94 | 31.5% | 33.6% | 2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.9 pts
Projected Score
Sochaux 0–0 Annecy
Exact score probability: 23%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.1%
Model confidence
34.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SochauxLDWDW
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
AnnecyLWWLL
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
SochauxAnnecy
25.9Attack40.7
66.7Defence59.3
40.7Form48.1
47.2Power51.8
0.73xG0.79