São Paulo Wvs
Gremio W
COMPLETEDBrazil · Brasileiro Women · 9/5/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
São Paulo W · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: São Paulo W 1-0 Gremio W, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
São Paulo W 2-0 Gremio W
Original prediction
São Paulo W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.46 | 61.8% | 45.9% | -15.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.73 | 24.1% | 29.7% | 5.6 pts |
| Away | 6.40 | 14.1% | 24.4% | 10.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.46 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.9 pts
Projected Score
São Paulo W 1–0 Gremio W
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
São Paulo W
Probability
45.9%
Model confidence
45.9%
São Paulo W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
São Paulo WDWWWW
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Gremio WDWLWW
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
São Paulo WGremio W
57.4Attack42.6
79.6Defence70.4
77.8Form51.9
72.8Power55.6
1.16xG0.61