GGOALVIO

Brazil · Brasileiro Women · 9/19/2026, 7:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

São Paulo W · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

São Paulo W 1-0 Flamengo W

Original prediction

São Paulo W

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 11 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.6953.0%46.5%-6.5 pts
Draw3.4825.8%28.1%2.3 pts
Away4.2221.2%25.4%4.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.69 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-6.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–013%
  2. 2.1–112%
  3. 3.2–012%

Predicted outcome

São Paulo W

Probability

46.5%

Model confidence

46.5%

São Paulo W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

São Paulo WWWDWW

GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Flamengo WLDWWW

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
São Paulo WFlamengo W
60.0Attack55.0
80.0Defence58.3
80.0Form56.7
74.5Power58.4
1.70xG0.79
View match centre →