São Paulo Wvs
Corinthians W
COMPLETEDBrazil · Brasileiro Women · 10/3/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
São Paulo W · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
São Paulo W 1-1 Corinthians W
Original prediction
São Paulo W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.85 | 31.6% | 37.8% | 6.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.04 | 29.6% | 27.1% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 2.31 | 38.8% | 35.0% | -3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.04 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
São Paulo W
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
São Paulo W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60