GGOALVIO

Brazil · Brasileiro Women · 2/24/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

São Paulo W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

São Paulo W are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Bahia W are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and São Paulo W hold an 11.3-point power-rating edge (72.1 v 60.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.5% in the Brasileiro Women, while São Paulo W holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

São Paulo W

Probability

50.3%

Model confidence

13.5%

São Paulo W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

São Paulo WWDLDD

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Bahia WLLLDW

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
São Paulo WBahia W
55.6Attack60.0
77.8Defence60.0
77.8Form60.0
72.1Power60.8
1.49xG0.87
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