São Paulo U20vsUnião São João U20

COMPLETED

Brazil · Paulista - U20 · 9/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

São Paulo U20 · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: São Paulo U20 1-0 União São João U20, with an exact score probability of 22%.

Final result

São Paulo U20 1-0 União São João U20

Original prediction

São Paulo U20

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20

Market	Odds	Implied probability	Model probability	Difference
Home	1.08	83.3%	63.4%	-19.9 pts
Draw	7.44	12.1%	23.0%	10.8 pts
Away	19.73	4.6%	13.6%	9.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.08 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-19.9 pts

Projected Score

São Paulo U20 1–0 União São João U20

Exact score probability: 22%

Predicted outcome

São Paulo U20

Probability

63.4%

Model confidence

63.4%

São Paulo U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

São Paulo U20WWWLW

GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5

União São João U20DDLWL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5

São Paulo U20União São João U20

56.4Attack28.2

89.7Defence64.1

76.9Form30.8

74.6Power43.0

1.45xG0.39